NB my Editor is away at conference so updates will appear in comments section thru the day.
Repeating some of the links from the comments section posted on Friday for anyone who missed them.
Brexit Countdown? https://www.scer.scot/database/ident-11902
Readout following this weekend’s #Brexit technical talks:
Chris Giles is the economic editor for the FT says
if we’re moving towards a fudged NI backstop Brexit deal with a standard UK free trade agreement, thread on the economic effects
tl:dr Johnson’s is a much HARDER Brexit than May’s
– UK government thinks this will end up making us ALL £2,250 A YEAR POORER
Here’s the latest on the Brexit negotiations:
EU sources downplay prospects of breakthrough in Brexit talks
1/ A few clips from this week’s @CommonsHomeAffs with Dr Anna Jerzewska & Sam Lowe. ‘On customs *Johnson’s proposals* we are accepting there is going to be a border *between NI-IRE* and there are going to be checks.’ @SamLowe muses on the appropriateness of this approach.
As we wait for white smoke to rise in Brussels, there’s lots in the Sunday papers to mull over…starting with this nugget from @ShippersUnbound about how Northern Irish security fears pushed @BorisJohnson into pinning his ears back and going for a deal…
The economic impact of Boris Johnson’s Brexit proposals: UK out of customs union, plus at most a minimal “Canada-minus” FTA, means GDP hit of up to 7%, and fiscal cost of up to £50 billion. Our new report, out now:
If the House of Commons were to approve a withdrawal agreement on 19 October, and there was no extension, we would have No Deal on 31 October. Here’s why. THREAD.
Dr Jennifer Cassidy confronts Richard Tice
Article from July In British PM Race, a Former Russian Tycoon Quietly Wields Influence
The second ERG amendment made it unlawful for Northern Ireland to enter a separate customs territory from UK. Boris Johnson will have to find a Commons majority to repeal/amend the trade bill if his new Brexit plan is going to fly.
From ‘Help!’ to Imagine in the Brexit process.
Week in Review: Govt’s Oct 31st campaign the pinnacle of Brexit weirdness
“The idea that Brexit is an anti-elite project is a nonsense.”
Boris Johnson’s Brexit deal would make people worse off than Theresa May’s
On this episode of Going Underground, we speak to former alleged MI6 spy in Al-Qaeda Aimen Dean about the Turkish invasion of Northern Syria controlled by Kurdish groups………….
Boris Johnson accused of using Queen’s Speech to rig result of next electionhttp://archive.fo/XzbOB
Not for publication: A letter from the Rt Horrible Boris Johnson MP:
GIULIANI’S UKRAINE GOONS, LEV PARNAS AND IGOR FRUMAN, ARRESTED TRYING TO FLEE THE U.S.
Warning – distressing to watch
EXCLUSIVE: TURKEY ATTACKS US SPECIAL FORCES IN SYRIA, APPARENTLY BY MISTAKE
According to the Telegraph Northern Ireland costs the UK taxpayer more than being in the EU (forget that being in the EU is a big earner for business & tax revenue) BUT v interesting development. https://twitter.com/AngusMacNeilSNP/status/1182446131760058368
R/T Feorlean: . michaelgove is desperately trying to deflect attention from this : https://twitter.com/GovanSnp/status/1182552025399222273
Pensions tax relief set to cost government almost £40bn. HMRC statistics show rising cost of subsidies, with higher-rate taxpayers claiming most.
NEW: Key manufacturers warn “serious risk” in new Johnson Brexit deal plan, after Govt fails to reassure still seeks participation in EU agencies EASA, ECHA, EMA…Thread https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/1182542548696477696
Johnson fails spectacularly to sneak in and out of Merseyside http://archive.fo/TcYtj
Here’s video of Trump attending the grand opening of Trump Tower in Turkey. Ivanka even thanked Erdogan on Twitter for this deal. Gonna say it loud and cleaR
Here's video of Trump attending the grand opening of Trump Tower in Turkey. Ivanka even thanked Erdogan on Twitter for this deal.
Gonna say it loud and clear:
— Robert De Niro (@RobertDeNiroUS) October 9, 2019
0700 GOOD MORNING
Bidder announced for broadband roll out. https://www.gov.scot/news/r100-progress/
Apologies for direct link but there is a video Nicola Sturgeon: ‘No shortcut route to Scottish independence’
and re the bbc article Angus McNeil says
Standard Life Aberdeen to axe hundreds of Scottish jobs just days before Christmas http://archive.fo/lRv6z
UK Brexit plan not shown to Scottish Govthttp://archive.fo/qxfvn
Backlash as BBC announces Julia Hartley-Brewer on Question Time panel http://archive.fo/hFNGp
The PM has granted the opposition access talks with the civil service. This is significant. They only happen when an election is looming – an indication No.10 think next two weeks will bring them the election they are pushing for?
Disgusted by this, will we in Scotland stand by and watch while our friends and neighbours are thrown out of Scotland by a foreign government.
EU nationals lacking settled status could be deported, minister says http://archive.fo/RHWZM
“The feeling we all got was that he didn’t know his arse from his elbow…it was a catastrophically bad meeting.” Raad Seiger, the lawyer acting as an advisor to Harry Dunn’s family commenting on their meeting with @DominicRaab yesterday.
Brexit deal possible by October 31 deadline following meeting with Johnson – Taoiseach https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit-countdown/2019/1010/1082249-varadkar-johnson/
Ex-MI6 chief criticises threat to withdraw security cooperation with EU http://archive.fo/3ngA3
Nissan Europe ‘unsustainable’ in no-deal Brexithttp://archive.fo/AaKhD
MOD Denies British Personnel Will Be ‘Forced’ Into Joining EU Army https://www.forces.net/news/mod-denies-british-personnel-will-be-forced-joining-eu-army
‘Our enemies are not in the poorest countries on the planet, but right here in the richest one’
England be ashamed!
Fiasco: the inside story of the Brexit talks
Brexit backstop showdown as Johnson and Varadkar set for ‘last chance’ summit
Brexit’s legacy for England will be politics as sectarian as Northern Ireland’s
Here’s the Government’s Brexit “No deal readiness report”. It runs to 155 pages. It is a peculiar mix of jolly pro-Brexit cheerleading and hair-raising warnings about everything that’s about to hit us with the force of a charging rhino.
Hunt has sent this letter to EU foreign minister (ht @bbclaurak). First, am sure it wasn’t the intention, but it comes across as the ‘dear Europeans, let me explain things to you because Britain knows best’ that so annoys many member states (beyond Brexit)
0700 GOOD MORNING
Scotland’s future must be in Scotland’s hands and not Boris Johnson’s. Deidre Brock speaks with people across Edinburgh on why it’s clear that only with an independent Scotland in Europe can we secure a more prosperous future, video
Find out how communities across Scotland may be affected by #Brexit with Scotgov’s interactive map. The map can be used to help local authorities and other organisations prepare for Brexit.
Richard Murphy Tax Research UK joins Norrie Hunter in the IndyLive Radio Studio to talk GERS, UK Spending in Scotland and the potential of Scotland to be the ‘New Saudi Arabia’ and A Green New Deal
Brexit: Special sitting for MPs to decide UK’s future. Or more likely England will decide for everyone http://archive.fo/FXxPX
Candidates battle it out to replace Commons Speaker Bercow http://archive.fo/3aokA
StevenPeers responds to decision by the Court of Session https://twitter.com/EssexLawSchool/status/1181964418483183619
No-deal Brexit: Julian Smith among ministers on ‘resignation watch’ http://archive.fo/KYaNI
Is there about to be a breakthrough in the Brexit talks? https://twitter.com/tconnellyRTE/status/1181900590290554880
“Disgusted and let down” Harry Dunn’s mother describes her meeting with the foreign secretary as “a publicity stunt”.
Scroll down for archived article Is Brexit making Britain a bargain for foreign investors? http://archive.fo/MU2Li
Boris Johnson asks for his ‘insufficient’ reply to Jennifer Arcuri claims to be kept secret http://archive.fo/icS56
You may have your own opinion on how much Eva Bolander, the Lord Provost of Glasgow, spent on clothes but the guidance for Councillors’ Remuneration, Allowances & Expenses thinks £5,000 pa is reasonable for a Lord Provost of Glasgow. She spent £4,000 pa
Lord Provost spends £8000 over 2 years (spending only 80% of her pre-set and approved budget) @MonicaLennon7 spaffs £25,000 in ONE year on dining experiences, fancy hotels (she lives 30 mins away from Holyrood) and trips to opulent bars.
Pound slumps against euro and dollar as Brexit chaos bites
Can the Queen sack Johnson?
Brexit: the day the deal died
Johnson faces fresh Tory rebellion over prospect of no-deal Brexit
Brexit is a necessary crisis – it reveals Britain’s true place in the world
0700 GOOD MORNING
Starting with a crowdfunder link this morning. The folks at Phantom power do a great job, donate if you are able to.
First Minister @NicolaSturgeon officially opened the £14.7 million Inverurie Health and Care Hub today.
Speaking outside of the Court of Session in Edinburgh, @JolyonMaugham says that if Boris Johnson does not comply with the law, the UK faces a “genuine constitutional crisis”
Tommy Sheppard confronts Gove
“I don’t know why we keep getting documents on preparing for a no deal #Brexit when to do so without the support of the House will be illegal”
Peter Grant raises a point of order about Michael Gove’s description of SNP as “sectarian” for a second time from the dispatch box. “I wasn’t here, so I dunno mate”, responds Lindsay Hoyle.
UK fishing exports could be halted within 48 hours of no deal http://archive.fo/A1OfZ
Trump firm ‘refusing to pay’ legal bill for windfarm case http://archive.fo/Vneii
Dierdre Brock says “Just out of a committee where the Tory Minister said that the Tory manifesto commitment to continue financial support to farmers and fishing fleets only lasts until the next general election… https://twitter.com/DeidreBrock/status/1181572479569072128
European Parliament president David Sassoli is briefing reporters after meeting Boris Johnson. He says talks were so frank he “felt like I was in a TV talk show”. Don’t think that’s entirely good.
Sassoli says Johnson told him the UK will leave on 31 Oct and will not seek an extension. Sassoli says Johnson’s plans as they stand “are not an actual proposal”. Nothing is definite, “everything is left to the future”.
Prescribed Zantac heartburn medicine recall in UK http://archive.fo/a6tBO
“Issuing threats to member states isn’t the way a responsible govt should be acting at a time when we need to be stopping a no-deal”
No 10 memo threatening EU states over Brexit extension ‘is shaming’ http://archive.fo/SzmvZ
Here’s a quick take on the Johnson-Merkel call: https://twitter.com/tconnellyRTE/status/1181516491981803520
Keir Starmer spells out the reality of what Johnson is up to – everyone knows Vote Leave conned the country – they’re doing it again…
Top scientists accuse Boris Johnson of sacrificing the UK’s research reputation – and billions of pounds in EU grants
It’s significant that the phone call happened particularly after such a dark day when it comes to #Brexit negotiations says @RTENewsPaulC of this evening’s conversation between @LeoVaradkar and @BorisJohnson
Video and link to article here https://twitter.com/rtenews/status/1181628852931571714
If no deal Brexit is really what Leavers wanted all along, why are they now desperately trying to blame it on the European Union, asks James O’Brien.
For goodness sake! https://twitter.com/TomWills/status/1181528753400401920
Boris Johnson and the Russian Mountain: a two minute film which sets out why MI6 was worried about a security risk.
A grown up speaks and owns the frothing faragist and far right lick spittle Michael Gove. https://twitter.com/g_gosden/status/1181575153928560640
Before the shit hits the fan, better get stockpiling! https://www.thejournal.ie/toilet-paper-no-deal-brexit-4843139-Oct2019/
The Latest: EU Parliament’s Brexit chief slams no-deal aim https://firenewsfeed.com/finance/75608
“No-deal #Brexit will result in no growth at all in the economy for years. It will hit public finances hard, and see a return to austerity”
It’s #NobOff day!
Expected agenda for the Inner House hearing today. We begin at 9.30 am with an application for an urgent disposal of our appeal against yesterday’s Outer House decision. Then we will have a hearing of our Nobile Officium petition (our Note of Argument
Boris Johnson urged to stop Donald Trump imposing tariffs on Scotch whisky
How Number 10 view the state of the negotiations http://archive.fo/Gkkvh
Boris Johnson faces court challenge over no-deal Brexit from low-paid workers
Brexit, a study in politics v law
Pat Finucane: Security service wiped hard drives http://archive.fo/2ASLT
A short thread on @JGForsyth exlposive(ly) transparent memo from the Cummings wing of Downing Street – and what it reveals about dynamics as we limp to Failure Friday /thread.
0700 Good Morning
“We’re not happy about accepting the prime minister’s word.”
Expert quits Home Office drug panel over ‘political vetting’ http://archive.fo/AlgyJ
She is a Tory
Unable to archive
Quoting mysterious, unnamed senior sources allows Johnson to look statesmanlike while Dominic Cummings engages in dodgier threats and sabre-rattling, writes Jill Rutter.
The Go Home Office: how the department of Windrush could harm EU nationals next http://archive.fo/lFN6W
Northern Ireland Remain parties sign joint letter rejecting Johnson’s Brexit proposals http://archive.fo/0SPEN
The #DUP‘s Jeffrey Donaldson being taken to task on BBC’s The View https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBfZQIr-mPY&feature=youtu.be
Revealed: the EU’s point-by-point rejection of Johnson’s Brexit plan http://archive.fo/EsMGO
AP sources: Trump allies sought changes at Ukraine utility https://apnews.com/d7440cffba4940f5b85cd3dfa3500fb2